Geographic correspondence
Compare the previously identified source zone with the location of later activity.
Empirical validation
A documented seismic case history.
The validation page summarizes the evidence chain connecting earlier SERRA work with later observed seismic activity in Ecuador.
Validation principle
Zone, magnitude range and seismic stage.
The validation evaluates whether prospective statements formulated before later events correspond with observed reality in the relevant geographic zone, magnitude range and reactivation stage.
Magnitude correspondence
Compare the expected energy or magnitude class with the observed event.
Stage correspondence
Compare observed activity with the previously identified reactivation stage.
Main case
Manabí–Esmeraldas and Pedernales 2016.
The historical validation narrative compares the Manabí–Esmeraldas assessment shown in earlier SERRA work with the Mw 7.8 Pedernales earthquake of April 16, 2016.
For the full documentary chain, original supporting files and complete discussion, use the official Zenodo validation record.
Explore further
Open the demonstration or the complete validation record.
Use the live prototype for an operational view, or Zenodo for the complete scientific document.